Clay Shirky on why the sky really is falling for newspapers

At Harvard University’s Neiman Journalism Lab, a long and typically rewarding speech at the Labs by Clay Shirky.

Take-home message: it’s going to get worse before it gets better:

I think a bad thing is going to happen, right? And it’s amazing to me how much, in a conversation conducted by adults, the possibility that maybe things are just going to get a lot worse for a while does not seem to be something people are taking seriously. But I think this falling into relative corruption of moderate-sized cities and towns — I think that’s baked into the current environment. I don’t think there’s any way we can get out of that kind of thing. So I think we are headed into a long trough of decline in accountability journalism, because the old models are breaking faster than the new models can be put into place.

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